Future First

We have been involved with a number of strategic think tanks and have participated in numerous strategy planning sessions. We’ve spoken a bit before about strategy but yesterday we came across an interesting blog by John Roese—its worth a read.

Scenario stage setting

In part 1 he got us hooked in the first line using Arthur C. Clarke’s famous quote about magic and technology. He uses the magic-technology connection to set the stage for the scenario planning he proposes that communications providers should be using. Part 2 moves us forward to being able to abstract our expectation of usage into a mode that allows the future gazing to be translated (by the smarter among us) into a communications reality. We like how he thinks.

If we might be so bold as to paraphrase some of his writing we think he’s suggesting that instead of looking around at a pile of technology and saying “what can we cobble together and sell big time?”, instead he is suggesting that we dream about the ultimate use in an unbridled fashion and then figure out how we might be able to achieve it. Hmmm…makes sense to me.

Arthur take us away

If we have learned one thing from the history of invention and discovery, it is that, in the long run - and often in the short one - the most daring prophecies seem laughably conservative.

Arthur C. Clarke, The Exploration of Space, 1951

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